Mortgage Rates on Jan. 29, 2024: Rates Ease for Homebuyers (2024)

Mortgage Rates on Jan. 29, 2024: Rates Ease for Homebuyers (1)

A number of closely followed mortgage rates declined over the last week. Average 15-year fixed mortgage rates grew, while average 30-year fixed mortgage rates decreased, while At the same time, average rates for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages decreased.

  • 30-year fixed mortgage: 6.99%
  • 15-year fixed mortgage: 6.50%
  • 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage: 6.12%

In November, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage started making sustained drops from its earlier peak of 8%. The most common home loans are now in the 6% to 7% range. Yet the mortgage market always has some level of volatility, and rates have already started inching back up at the start of this year.

“It’s not uncommon to see a shift in the pattern for interest rates in January, sometimes positive, sometimes not,” said Keith Gumbinger, vice president of mortgage site HSH.com.

The current housing market is difficult. High mortgage rates, expensive home prices and tight inventory are keeping homebuying out of reach for many. If you’re looking to buy a home, don’t try to time the market. Instead, experts recommend patience and preparation: Figure out what you can afford and take steps to improve your financial situation.

About these rates: Like CNET, Bankrate is owned by Red Ventures. This tool features partner rates from lenders that you can use when comparing multiple mortgage rates.

Today’s average mortgage interest rates

If you’re in the market for a home, check out how today’s mortgage rates compare to last week’s. We use data collected by Bankrate to track changes in these daily rates. This table summarizes the average rates offered by lenders across the US:

Current average mortgage interest rates

Loan typeInterest rateA week agoChange
30-year fixed rate6.99%7.03%-0.04
15-year fixed rate6.50%6.49%+0.01
30-year jumbo mortgage rate7.02%7.07%-0.05
30-year mortgage refinance rate 7.19%7.22%-0.03

Rates as of Jan. 29, 2024

How to choose a mortgage

When picking a mortgage, consider the loan term, or payment schedule. The most common mortgage terms are 15 and 30 years, although 10-, 20- and 40-year mortgages also exist. You’ll also need to choose between a fixed-rate mortgage, where the interest rate is set for the duration of the loan, and an adjustable-rate mortgage. With an adjustable-rate mortgage, the interest rate is only fixed for a certain amount of time (commonly five, seven or 10 years), after which the rate adjusts annually based on the market’s current interest rate. Fixed-rate mortgages offer more stability and are a better option if you plan to live in a home in the long term, but adjustable-rate mortgages may offer lower interest rates upfront.

30-year fixed-rate mortgages

The average 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate is 6.99%, which is a decline of 4 basis points from seven days ago. (A basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.) A 30-year fixed mortgage is the most common loan term. It will often have a higher interest rate than a 15-year mortgage, but you’ll have a lower monthly payment.

15-year fixed-rate mortgages

The average rate for a 15-year, fixed mortgage is 6.50%, which is an increase of 1 basis point from seven days ago. Though you’ll have a bigger monthly payment than a 30-year fixed mortgage, a 15-year loan usually comes with a lower interest rate, allowing you to pay less interest in the long run and pay off your mortgage sooner.

5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages

A 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage has an average rate of 6.12%, a decrease of 26 basis points compared to a week ago. You’ll typically get a lower introductory interest rate with a 5/1 ARM in the first five years of the mortgage. But you could pay more after that period, depending on how the rate adjusts annually. If you plan to sell or refinance your house within five years, an ARM could be a good option.

Calculate your monthly mortgage payment

Getting a mortgage should always depend on your financial situation and long-term goals. The most important thing is to make a budget and try to stay within your means. CNET’s mortgage calculator below can help homebuyers prepare for monthly mortgage payments.

When mortgage rates will stabilize, according to experts

Mortgage rates were near record lows, around 3%, at the start of the pandemic. That changed as inflation surged and the Federal Reserve kicked off a series of aggressive interest rate hikes, which indirectly drove up mortgage rates. Now, mortgage rates are still more than double what they were just a few years ago.

However, with the central bank keeping interest rates steady since late July, mortgage rates finally saw some sustained decreases in the fall. With the Fed planning to announce its next policy move in late January (and again in mid-March), experts are waiting for the first interest rate cut. It may be months before that happens, but mortgage rates could stabilize and start inching even lower in the coming months.

““The history of economic cycles has taught us that when the markets believe the Fed is done hiking rates, [mortgage rates] make a big move lower before rate cuts happen,” said Logan Mohtashami, lead analyst at HousingWire.

What affects mortgage rates?

  • Federal Reserve monetary policy: The nation’s central bank doesn’t set interest rates, but when it adjusts the federal funds rate, mortgages tend to go in the same direction.
  • Inflation: Mortgage rates tend to increase during high inflation. Lenders usually set higher interest rates on loans to compensate for the loss of purchasing power.
  • The bond market: Mortgage lenders often use long-term bond yields, like the 10-Year Treasury, as a benchmark to set interest rates on home loans. When yields rise, mortgage rates typically increase.
  • Geopolitical events: World events, such as elections, pandemics or economic crises, can also affect home loan rates, particularly when global financial markets face uncertainty.
  • Other economic factors: The bond market, employment data, investor confidence and housing market trends, such as supply and demand, can also affect the direction of mortgage rates.

Mortgage rate forecasts from experts

While mortgage forecasters base their projections on different data, most predict rates will remain near or above 7% for the rest of 2023. Here’s a look at where some of the major housing authorities expect average mortgage rates to land at the end of the year.

How to find the best mortgage rates

Though mortgage rates and home prices are high, the housing market won’t be unaffordable forever. It’s always a good time to save for a down payment and improve your credit score to help you secure a competitive mortgage rate when the time is right.

  1. Save for a bigger down payment: Though a 20% down payment isn’t required, a larger upfront payment means taking out a smaller mortgage, which will help you save in interest.
  2. Boost your credit score: You can qualify for a conventional mortgage with a 620 credit score, but a higher score of at least 740 will get you better rates.
  3. Pay off debt: Experts recommend a debt-to-income ratio of 36% or less to help you qualify for the best rates. Not carrying other debt will put you in a better position to handle your monthly payments.
  4. Research loans and assistance: Government-sponsored loans have more flexible borrowing requirements than conventional loans. Some government-sponsored or private programs can also help with your down payment and closing costs.
  5. Shop around for lenders: Researching and comparing multiple loan offers from different lenders can help you secure the lowest mortgage rate for your situation.

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Mortgage Rates Overview

Mortgage rates can fluctuate over time, and it's important for potential homebuyers to stay informed about the current trends. In the past week, several mortgage rates have shown changes. The average 15-year fixed mortgage rates have increased, while the average 30-year fixed mortgage rates have decreased. Additionally, the average rates for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages have also decreased [[1]].

Here are the specific rates mentioned in the article:

  • 30-year fixed mortgage: 6.99%
  • 15-year fixed mortgage: 6.50%
  • 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage: 6.12% [[1]]

Mortgage Rate Trends

In November, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage started to decline from its earlier peak of 8%. Currently, the most common home loans are in the 6% to 7% range. However, the mortgage market is subject to volatility, and rates have already begun to increase at the start of this year. It is not uncommon to see a shift in the pattern for interest rates in January, sometimes positive and sometimes not [[1]].

Current Housing Market Challenges

The current housing market is challenging due to several factors. High mortgage rates, expensive home prices, and tight inventory are making it difficult for many people to afford homes. Experts recommend patience and preparation for those looking to buy a home. It is important to determine what you can afford and take steps to improve your financial situation [[1]].

Choosing a Mortgage

When selecting a mortgage, there are several factors to consider. One important aspect is the loan term or payment schedule. The most common mortgage terms are 15 and 30 years, although 10-, 20-, and 40-year mortgages also exist. Additionally, you'll need to choose between a fixed-rate mortgage, where the interest rate remains constant throughout the loan, and an adjustable-rate mortgage, where the interest rate is fixed for a certain period and then adjusts based on market rates. Fixed-rate mortgages offer stability and are suitable for long-term homeownership, while adjustable-rate mortgages may have lower initial interest rates but can change over time [[2]].

Specific Mortgage Types

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently 6.99%, which is a decrease of 4 basis points from the previous week. This type of mortgage is the most common and typically has a higher interest rate compared to a 15-year mortgage. However, it offers lower monthly payments [[3]].
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: The average rate for a 15-year fixed mortgage is 6.50%, which is an increase of 1 basis point from the previous week. Although the monthly payments for a 15-year mortgage are higher, it usually comes with a lower interest rate, allowing homeowners to pay less interest over the loan term and pay off the mortgage sooner [[3]].
  • 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages: A 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage currently has an average rate of 6.12%, which is a decrease of 26 basis points compared to the previous week. With a 5/1 ARM, you typically get a lower introductory interest rate for the first five years, after which the rate adjusts annually based on the market's current interest rate. This type of mortgage can be a good option if you plan to sell or refinance your house within five years [[3]].

Factors Affecting Mortgage Rates

Several factors influence mortgage rates, including:

  • Federal Reserve monetary policy: While the Federal Reserve doesn't directly set mortgage rates, adjustments to the federal funds rate can impact mortgage rates. When the federal funds rate changes, mortgage rates tend to move in the same direction [[4]].
  • Inflation: High inflation can lead to increased mortgage rates. Lenders often set higher interest rates on loans to compensate for the loss of purchasing power caused by inflation [[4]].
  • Bond market: Mortgage lenders often use long-term bond yields, such as the 10-Year Treasury, as a benchmark to set interest rates on home loans. When bond yields rise, mortgage rates typically increase as well [[4]].
  • Geopolitical events: Global events like elections, pandemics, or economic crises can create uncertainty in financial markets, which can impact mortgage rates [[4]].
  • Other economic factors: The bond market, employment data, investor confidence, and housing market trends, such as supply and demand, can also influence the direction of mortgage rates [[4]].

Mortgage Rate Forecasts

Mortgage rate forecasts from experts suggest that rates will likely remain near or above 7% for the rest of 2023. However, it's important to note that projections can vary based on different data sources [[5]].

Tips for Finding the Best Mortgage Rates

While mortgage rates and home prices may currently be high, there are steps you can take to prepare for a competitive mortgage rate:

  • Save for a larger down payment: A larger upfront payment means taking out a smaller mortgage, which can result in lower interest costs over time [[6]].
  • Improve your credit score: A higher credit score can help you qualify for better mortgage rates. Aim for a score of at least 740 to secure more favorable rates [[6]].
  • Pay off debt: Reducing your overall debt and maintaining a lower debt-to-income ratio can improve your chances of qualifying for the best rates [[6]].
  • Research loans and assistance programs: Government-sponsored loans often have more flexible borrowing requirements than conventional loans. Additionally, there may be programs available to assist with down payments and closing costs [[6]].
  • Shop around for lenders: Comparing loan offers from different lenders can help you find the lowest mortgage rate for your specific situation [[6]].

Remember, it's essential to consider your financial situation and long-term goals when deciding on a mortgage. Creating a budget and staying within your means is crucial for successful homeownership [[7]].

I hope this information helps you understand mortgage rates and make informed decisions. Let me know if there's anything else I can assist you with!

Mortgage Rates on Jan. 29, 2024: Rates Ease for Homebuyers (2024)
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